← Back to matches

Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

16 Jul 2026 19:00 UTC

ABB vs INDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO

Final 3:1

ABB won Last goal: ABB

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Juan Fajardo — ABB

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jairo Cuéllar (own goal) — Independiente Petrolero
  2. ⚽ Rodderyck Perozo — ABB
  3. ⚽ Juan Fajardo — ABB
  4. 🟥 Lazaro Crescencio (2nd yellow) — Independiente Petrolero

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Independiente Petrolero
90-minute result: ABB
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 229 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 285 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 68 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
209 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
148 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
207 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
204 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
246 predictions

Match overview