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Iceland · 1. Deild

14 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

HK KOPAVOGS vs IR REYKJAVIK

Final 5:1

HK Kopavogs won Last goal: IR Reykjavik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Karl Agust Karlsson — HK Kopavogs
  2. ⚽ Atli Hrafn Andrason — HK Kopavogs
  3. ⚽ Dominik Radic — HK Kopavogs
  4. ⚽ Thorsteinn Antonsson — HK Kopavogs

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tumi Thorvarsson — HK Kopavogs
  2. ⚽ Stefan Thor Palsson — IR Reykjavik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
IR Reykjavik
90-minute result: HK Kopavogs
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 28 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 188 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 214 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 70 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
166 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
139 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
179 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
144 predictions
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
81 predictions
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
174 predictions

Match overview