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Iceland · 1. Deild

16 Jul 2026 19:15 UTC

AFTURELDING vs LEIKNIR REYKJAVIK

Final 3:2

Afturelding won Last goal: Leiknir Reykjavik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Joacim Holtan — Afturelding
  2. ⚽ Axel Hardarson — Leiknir Reykjavik
  3. ⚽ Odinn Bjarkason — Afturelding

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Joacim Holtan — Afturelding
  2. ⚽ Johann Kanfory Tjorvason — Leiknir Reykjavik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Leiknir Reykjavik
90-minute result: Afturelding
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 190 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 216 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
168 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
140 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
180 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
145 predictions
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
82 predictions
Total 4.5 23% (Weak)
40 predictions

Match overview