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Iceland · 1. Deild

18 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

GROTTA vs AEGIR

Final 6:1

Grotta won Last goal: Grotta

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Noekkvi Mar Noekkvason — Grotta
  2. Mattias Kjeld — Grotta
  3. Mattias Kjeld — Grotta
  4. Bjoergvin Andresson — Grotta

2nd half

  1. Daniel Karl Thrastarson (own goal) — Grotta
  2. Daniel Karl Thrastarson — Aegir
  3. Jonatan Ari Bragason — Grotta

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
35%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
15%
Score
5:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 6:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 100% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+5; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 192 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 218 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 26 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 73% (Strong)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 54% (Average)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
170 predictions
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
76 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
182 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
84 predictions
Total 4.5 26% (Weak)
42 predictions

Match overview