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Finland · Veikkausliiga

11 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

FC LAHTI vs HJK

Final 2:0

FC Lahti won Last goal: FC Lahti

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Otso Koskinen — FC Lahti

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Neemias Barbosa — FC Lahti

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
HJK
90-minute result: FC Lahti
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 20 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 209 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 260 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
182 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
195 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
231 predictions

Match overview