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Finland · Veikkausliiga

04 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

FF JARO vs ILVES

Final 2:1

FF Jaro won Last goal: Ilves

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Herman Sjoegrell — FF Jaro
  2. ⚽ Rudi Vikstroem — FF Jaro

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Yiandro Raap — Ilves

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
FF Jaro
90-minute result: FF Jaro
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 11 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 204 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 255 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
177 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
152 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
128 predictions
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 4.5 32% (Weak)
28 predictions

Match overview