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Finland · Veikkausliiga

04 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

VPS vs IFK MARIEHAMN

Final 4:0

VPS won Last goal: VPS

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luka Smyth — VPS
  2. ⚽ Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi — VPS

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Olavi Keturi — VPS
  2. ⚽ Akon Kuek — VPS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
IFK Mariehamn
90-minute result: VPS
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 49 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 204 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 255 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
177 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
152 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
128 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
191 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
227 predictions

Match overview