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Chile · Cup · Cup Grp. G

05 Jul 2026 20:00 UTC

DEPORTES SANTA CRUZ vs AUDAX ITALIANO

Final 2:1

Deportes Santa Cruz won Last goal: Deportes Santa Cruz

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Federico Mateos — Audax Italiano

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Diego Plaza — Deportes Santa Cruz
  2. ⚽ Diego Arias — Deportes Santa Cruz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Audax Italiano
90-minute result: Deportes Santa Cruz
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 21% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 82 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 80 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 11 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 45% (Average)
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
58 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
32 predictions
Total 1.5 7% (Weak)
14 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
42 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
58 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
70 predictions

Match overview