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Chile · Cup · Cup Grp. D

05 Jul 2026 16:30 UTC

SANTIAGO WANDERERS vs UNIVERSIDAD DE CHILE

Final 2:3

Universidad de Chile won Last goal: Santiago Wanderers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Maximiliano Guerrero — Universidad de Chile
  2. ⚽ Marcos Camarda — Santiago Wanderers
  3. ⚽ Maximiliano Guerrero — Universidad de Chile

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Javier Altamirano — Universidad de Chile
  2. ⚽ Marcos Camarda — Santiago Wanderers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Universidad de Chile
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 82 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 80 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 10 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 70% (Strong)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 30% (Weak)
Total 3.5 20% (Weak)
Total 4.5 40% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
22 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
32 predictions
Total 1.5 7% (Weak)
14 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
42 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
58 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
70 predictions

Match overview