← Back to matches

Chile · Cup · Cup Grp. F

05 Jul 2026 19:00 UTC

CD NUBLENSE vs CURICO UNIDO

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Curico Unido

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ignacio Jeraldino — CD Nublense
  2. 🟥 Henry Sanhuenza (straight red) — Curico Unido
  3. ⚽ Rodrigo Colombo — Curico Unido
  4. ⚽ Jovany Campusano — CD Nublense
  5. ⚽ Cristian Bustamante — Curico Unido
  6. 🟥 Manuel Rivera (straight red) — CD Nublense

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Curico Unido
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 21% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 82 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 80 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 12 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
58 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
48 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
66 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
38 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
58 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
70 predictions

Match overview