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Chile · Cup · Cup Grp. C

05 Jul 2026 16:30 UTC

LA SERENA vs ANTOFAGASTA

Final 2:4

Antofagasta won Last goal: La Serena

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Matías Gallegos — Antofagasta
  2. ⚽ Diego Rojas — Antofagasta
  3. ⚽ Jeisson Vargas (penalty) — La Serena

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Brayan Hurtado — Antofagasta
  2. ⚽ Jose Monreal — Antofagasta
  3. ⚽ Gonzalo Escalante — La Serena
  4. 🟥 Sebastián Leyton (straight red) — Antofagasta

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
La Serena
90-minute result: Antofagasta
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 64% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 82 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 80 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 14 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 57% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
58 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
48 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
66 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
38 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
58 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
70 predictions

Match overview