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Sweden · Allsvenskan

05 Jul 2026 14:30 UTC

ELFSBORG vs HAMMARBY

Final 1:2

Hammarby won Last goal: Elfsborg

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Paulos Abraham — Hammarby
  2. ⚽ Montader Madjed — Hammarby
  3. ⚽ Ari Sigurpálsson — Elfsborg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Hammarby
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 85 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 227 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 308 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 76 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
85 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
182 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
246 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
170 predictions
Total 3.5 35% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
266 predictions

Match overview