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Sweden · Allsvenskan

03 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

SIRIUS vs MJAELLBY

Final 4:4

Draw Last goal: Mjaellby

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Robbie Ure — Sirius

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Robbie Ure — Sirius
  2. ⚽ Robbie Ure — Sirius
  3. ⚽ Áki Samuelsen — Mjaellby
  4. ⚽ Áki Samuelsen — Mjaellby
  5. ⚽ Robbie Ure — Sirius
  6. ⚽ Ludvig Svanberg — Mjaellby
  7. ⚽ Tom Pettersson — Mjaellby

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Sirius
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 224 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 305 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
220 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
180 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
243 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
167 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
86 predictions
Total 4.5 29% (Weak)
41 predictions

Match overview