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Sweden · Allsvenskan

05 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

IFK GOETEBORG vs AIK

Final 1:2

AIK won Last goal: AIK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sebastian Clemmensen — IFK Goeteborg
  2. ⚽ Johan Hove — AIK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Axel Kouame — AIK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
AIK
90-minute result: AIK
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 75% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 227 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 308 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
223 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
246 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
170 predictions
Total 3.5 35% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
266 predictions

Match overview