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Sweden · Allsvenskan

04 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

DEGERFORS vs MALMOE FF

Final 0:1

Malmoe FF won Last goal: Malmoe FF

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Erik Botheim — Malmoe FF

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Degerfors
90-minute result: Malmoe FF
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 225 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 306 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
221 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
125 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
244 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
168 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
219 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
264 predictions

Match overview