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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

05 Jul 2026 10:30 UTC

GWANGJU FC vs ULSAN HD FC

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Gwangju FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Yago Cariello — Ulsan HD FC
  2. ⚽ Min-Seo Moon — Gwangju FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Gwangju FC
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 74 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 224 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 279 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 87 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
202 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
151 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 4.5 17% (Weak)
30 predictions

Match overview