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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

05 Jul 2026 10:30 UTC

GIMCHEON SANGMU vs JEJU SK

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Jeju SK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Byeon Jun-Soo (2nd yellow) — Gimcheon Sangmu
  2. 🟥 Negueba (straight red) — Jeju SK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Cheol-Woo Park — Gimcheon Sangmu
  2. ⚽ Tobias Figueiredo — Jeju SK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Gimcheon Sangmu
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 74 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 224 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 279 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 90 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
202 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
128 predictions
Total 1.5 35% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
153 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
249 predictions

Match overview