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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

11 Jul 2026 10:30 UTC

GWANGJU FC vs POHANG STEELERS

Final 0:3

Pohang Steelers won Last goal: Pohang Steelers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kento Nishiya — Pohang Steelers

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jakob Tranziska — Pohang Steelers
  2. ⚽ Han-Min Jung — Pohang Steelers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Pohang Steelers
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 227 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 285 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 92 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
207 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
155 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
205 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
129 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
252 predictions

Match overview