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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

04 Jul 2026 10:30 UTC

FC ANYANG vs POHANG STEELERS

Final 2:3

Pohang Steelers won Last goal: Pohang Steelers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Wanderson — Pohang Steelers
  2. ⚽ Matheus Oliveira — FC Anyang

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Kwang-Hoon Shin (straight red) — Pohang Steelers
  2. ⚽ Wanderson — Pohang Steelers
  3. ⚽ Tae-Hee Lee — FC Anyang
  4. ⚽ Lee Ho-Jae — Pohang Steelers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Pohang Steelers
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
68%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
11%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 76 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 221 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 279 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 89 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
202 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
128 predictions
Total 1.5 35% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
153 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
249 predictions

Match overview