← Back to matches

Finland · Veikkausliiga

27 Jun 2026 16:00 UTC

TPS vs FF JARO

Final 3:2

TPS won Last goal: TPS

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Albijon Muzaci — TPS
  2. ⚽ Herman Sjoegrell — FF Jaro
  3. ⚽ Herman Sjoegrell (penalty) — FF Jaro

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Timo Zaal — TPS
  2. ⚽ Albijon Muzaci — TPS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
TPS
90-minute result: TPS
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
16%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 198 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
172 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
147 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
192 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
188 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
223 predictions

Match overview