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Ireland · First Division

26 Jun 2026 18:45 UTC

ATHLONE TOWN vs FINN HARPS

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Finn Harps

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Cillian Tollett — Athlone Town

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Darragh Coyle (straight red) — Finn Harps
  2. 🟥 Gradi Lomboto (straight red) — Athlone Town
  3. ⚽ Bernardo Monteiro (penalty) — Finn Harps

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 200 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 239 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 90 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
57 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
192 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
121 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
181 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
213 predictions

Match overview