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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Final Stage

02 Jul 2026 19:00 UTC

SPAIN vs AUSTRIA

Final 3:0

Top match Spain won Last goal: Spain

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mikel Oyarzabal · assist Marc Cucurella — Spain

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Pedro Porro · assist Álex Baena — Spain
  2. ⚽ Mikel Oyarzabal · assist Marc Cucurella — Spain

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
48%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Spain
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 11 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 75 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 77 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 83% (Strong)
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Average)
11 predictions
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
42 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
62 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
38 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
61 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
69 predictions

Match overview