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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Final Stage

04 Jul 2026 01:30 UTC

COLOMBIA vs GHANA

Final 1:0

Top match Colombia won Last goal: Colombia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jhon Arias · assist Luis Suárez — Colombia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
48%
1X2
Colombia
90-minute result: Colombia
Lucky hit
38%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
81%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
82%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
20%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 81 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 79 completed matches.

1X2 57% (Good)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 60% (Good)
Both teams to score 20% (Weak)
Total 1.5 20% (Weak)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 20% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 57% (Good)
67 predictions
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
44 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
64 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
40 predictions
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
17 predictions
Total 4.5 11% (Weak)
9 predictions

Match overview