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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Final Stage

28 Jun 2026 19:00 UTC

SOUTH AFRICA vs CANADA

Final 0:1

Top match Canada won Last goal: Canada

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Stephen Eustaquio — Canada

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
43%
1X2
Canada
90-minute result: Canada
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
58%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 64 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 66 completed matches.

1X2 59% (Good)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 59% (Good)
56 predictions
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
35 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
53 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
30 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
56 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
61 predictions

Match overview