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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Grp. I

26 Jun 2026 19:00 UTC

SENEGAL vs IRAQ

Final 5:0

Top match Senegal won Last goal: Senegal

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Habib Diarra · assist Abdoulaye Seck — Senegal
  2. 🟥 Rebin Sulaka (straight red) — Iraq

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ismaïla Sarr · assist Lamine Camara — Senegal
  2. ⚽ Pape Gueye · assist Ismaïla Sarr — Senegal
  3. ⚽ Pape Gueye · assist Iliman Ndiaye — Senegal
  4. ⚽ Iliman Ndiaye · assist Pape Gueye — Senegal

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
43%
1X2
Iraq
90-minute result: Senegal
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
81%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
33%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 52 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 54 completed matches.

1X2 60% (Good)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 22% (Strong)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 100% (Strong)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 33% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 60% (Good)
45 predictions
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
28 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
42 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
23 predictions
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
7 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
51 predictions

Match overview