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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Grp. I

26 Jun 2026 19:00 UTC

NORWAY vs FRANCE

Final 1:4

Top match France won Last goal: France

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ousmane Dembélé · assist Kylian Mbappé — France
  2. ⚽ Ousmane Dembélé · assist Kylian Mbappé — France
  3. ⚽ Thelo Aasgaard · assist Andreas Schjelderup — Norway
  4. ⚽ Ousmane Dembélé · assist Aurélien Tchouaméni — France

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Désiré Doué · assist Bradley Barcola — France

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
43%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: France
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
81%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
33%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 52 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 54 completed matches.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 22% (Strong)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 100% (Strong)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 33% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 67% (Strong)
9 predictions
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
28 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
42 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
31 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
47 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
51 predictions

Match overview