← Back to matches

Ireland · First Division

19 Jun 2026 18:45 UTC

CORK CITY vs TREATY UNITED

Final 4:0

Cork City won Last goal: Cork City

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ruairi Keating — Cork City
  2. ⚽ Hans Mpongo — Cork City
  3. ⚽ Hans Mpongo — Cork City
  4. ⚽ Cillian Murphy — Cork City

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Cork City
90-minute result: Cork City
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 71% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 195 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 163 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
121 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
62 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
137 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
85 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
121 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
146 predictions

Match overview