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12 Jun 2026 18:45 UTC

FINN HARPS vs UCD

Final 0:5

UCD won Last goal: UCD

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Louis Dignam — UCD
⚽ Killian Cailloce — UCD
⚽ Niall Holohan — UCD

2nd half

⚽ Killian Cailloce — UCD
⚽ Louis Dignam — UCD

Model predictions were

40%

1X2

UCD

Result: UCD

57%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

78%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

51%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

Score

1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 17% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 190 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 158 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)

Both teams to score 53% (Average)

Total 1.5 68% (Strong)

Total 2.5 49% (Average)

Total 3.5 56% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 69% (Strong)

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

Total 3.5 54% (Average)

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)

117 predictions

Both teams to score 58% (Good)

98 predictions

Total 1.5 77% (Strong)

133 predictions

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

83 predictions

Total 3.5 66% (Strong)

117 predictions

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

142 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Finn Harps vs UCD. The match ended 0-5 in Ireland · First Division. The model leaned toward UCD with a marginal edge (40.2%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 78.5% of matches across a sample of 158 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 49.2% in a sample of 59 team involvements.

Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (78.3%) was identified as a high-confidence indicator and aligned with the result. Over 2.5 goals (51.4%) was confirmed by the match, both teams to score (56.7%) fell short of the result.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

FINN HARPS vs UCD

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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