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Ireland · First Division

19 Jun 2026 18:45 UTC

BRAY WANDERERS vs LONGFORD TOWN

Final 5:2

Bray Wanderers won Last goal: Bray Wanderers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Kian Moore (straight red) — Longford Town
  2. ⚽ Ben McCormack — Bray Wanderers

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Andy Paraschiv — Longford Town
  2. ⚽ Tyreik Sammy — Bray Wanderers
  3. ⚽ Ben McCormack — Bray Wanderers
  4. ⚽ Cian Doyle — Bray Wanderers
  5. ⚽ Cole Omorehiomwan — Longford Town
  6. ⚽ Alain Kizenga — Bray Wanderers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Bray Wanderers
90-minute result: Bray Wanderers
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 195 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 163 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
121 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
101 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
137 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
85 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
121 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
146 predictions

Match overview