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Ireland · First Division

12 Jun 2026 18:45 UTC

TREATY UNITED vs BRAY WANDERERS

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Bray Wanderers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Jason Oyenuga — Treaty United
  2. Mark Byrne — Treaty United
  3. Tyreik Sammy — Bray Wanderers
  4. Dean O'Shea — Bray Wanderers

Model predictions were

Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 190 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 158 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
117 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
133 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
83 predictions
Total 3.5 27% (Weak)
41 predictions
Total 4.5 13% (Weak)
16 predictions

Match overview