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Iceland · 1. Deild

17 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

GRINDAVIK vs FYLKIR

Final 0:1

Fylkir won Last goal: Fylkir

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kari Sigfusson — Fylkir

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Grindavik
90-minute result: Fylkir
Lucky hit
35%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
59%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 160 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 121 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 36 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
95 predictions
Both teams to score 27% (Weak)
30 predictions
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
9 predictions
Total 2.5 27% (Weak)
30 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
71 predictions
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
98 predictions

Match overview