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Iceland · 1. Deild

13 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

VOELSUNGUR vs NJARDVIK

Final 2:1

Voelsungur won Last goal: Voelsungur

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bragi Karl Bjarkason (penalty) — Njardvik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Arnar Kristjansson — Voelsungur
  2. ⚽ Elfar Arni Adalsteinsson — Voelsungur

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Njardvik
90-minute result: Voelsungur
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 64% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 158 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 119 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 56% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
93 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
89 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
110 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
89 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
69 predictions
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
96 predictions

Match overview