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Iceland · 1. Deild

19 Jun 2026 19:15 UTC

NJARDVIK vs LEIKNIR REYKJAVIK

Final 1:0

Njardvik won Last goal: Njardvik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Valdimar Johannsson — Njardvik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Leiknir Reykjavik
90-minute result: Njardvik
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 62% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 163 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 124 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
98 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
91 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
114 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
93 predictions
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
51 predictions
Total 4.5 13% (Weak)
23 predictions

Match overview