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Iceland · 1. Deild

21 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

VESTRI vs AFTURELDING

Final 2:0

Vestri won Last goal: Vestri

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Emmanuel Duah — Vestri
  2. ⚽ Breki Hermannsson — Vestri

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Vestri
90-minute result: Vestri
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 164 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 125 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 18 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 44% (Weak)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
99 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
92 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
115 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
73 predictions
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
101 predictions

Match overview