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Iceland · 1. Deild

06 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

FYLKIR vs THROTTUR REYKJAVIK

Final 1:3

Throttur Reykjavik won Last goal: Fylkir

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Sigurdur Lárusson — Throttur Reykjavik

2nd half

  1. Sigurdur Lárusson — Throttur Reykjavik
  2. Magnus Thordarson — Throttur Reykjavik
  3. Theodor Ingi Oskarsson — Fylkir

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 24 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 155 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 116 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
91 predictions
Both teams to score 28% (Weak)
29 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
107 predictions
Total 2.5 28% (Weak)
29 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
68 predictions
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
93 predictions

Match overview