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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

02 Jun 2026 18:45 UTC

WALES vs GHANA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Wales

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Caleb Yirenkyi — Ghana
⚽ Lewis Koumas — Wales

Model predictions were

49%

1X2

Ghana

Result: Draw

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

64%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

13%

Score

1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 311 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 241 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 75% (Strong)

Both teams to score 38% (Weak)

Total 1.5 75% (Strong)

Total 2.5 38% (Weak)

Total 3.5 50% (Average)

Total 4.5 75% (Strong)

Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)

185 predictions

Both teams to score 40% (Weak)

119 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

188 predictions

Total 2.5 45% (Average)

110 predictions

Total 3.5 68% (Strong)

190 predictions

Total 4.5 83% (Strong)

219 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Wales vs Ghana after full time. The match ended 1-1 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. Pre-match projections pointed to Ghana with a low-confidence projection at 49.2%.

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) came in as a strong signal and held up in the final outcome.

Over 2.5 goals (45.4%) did not match the outcome, both teams to score (41.1%) was confirmed by the match. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 76.8% of matches across a sample of 241 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 37.5% in a sample of 8 team involvements.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

WALES vs GHANA

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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