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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

02 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

MOROCCO vs MADAGASCAR

Final 4:0

Morocco won Last goal: Morocco

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Ismael Saibari — Morocco
⚽ Ismael Saibari — Morocco

2nd half

⚽ Soufiane Rahimi (penalty) — Morocco
🟥 El Hadary Raheriniaina (straight red) — Madagascar
⚽ Ayoub El Kaabi — Morocco

Model predictions were

48%

1X2

Morocco

Result: Morocco

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

17%

Score

5:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 40 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 311 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 241 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)

Both teams to score 83% (Strong)

Total 1.5 33% (Weak)

Total 2.5 33% (Weak)

Total 3.5 67% (Strong)

Total 4.5 100% (Strong)

Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)

185 predictions

Both teams to score 40% (Weak)

119 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

188 predictions

Total 2.5 45% (Average)

110 predictions

Total 3.5 27% (Weak)

51 predictions

Total 4.5 14% (Weak)

22 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for Morocco vs Madagascar. The match ended 4-0 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. The model leaned toward Morocco with a weak indicator (48.4%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 76.8% of matches across a sample of 241 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 83.3% in a sample of 6 team involvements.

Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) appeared as a clear statistical edge and aligned with the result. Over 2.5 goals (45.4%) was confirmed by the match, both teams to score (41.1%) fell short of the result.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

MOROCCO vs MADAGASCAR

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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