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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. A

01 Jun 2026 23:00 UTC

CLUB ATLETICO PENAROL vs CENTRAL ESPANOL

Final 0:1

Central Espanol won Last goal: Central Espanol

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Eric Remedi (2nd yellow) — Club Atletico Penarol
  2. 🟥 Matías Arezo (straight red) — Club Atletico Penarol
  3. 🟥 Lucas Ferreira (straight red) — Club Atletico Penarol
  4. ⚽ Lucas Pino — Central Espanol

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
Result: Central Espanol
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 70 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 297 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 246 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
70 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
93 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
154 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
221 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
241 predictions

Match overview

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No prediction yet Notify me when the prediction is ready.
05 Jun 22:00 UTC
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1X2 Prediction is being generated.
Both teams to score —
Over/Under
1.5 — 2.5 — 3.5 — 4.5 —
Score — : —