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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. B

31 May 2026 18:00 UTC

JUVENTUD DE LAS PIEDRAS vs MONTEVIDEO WANDERERS

Final 2:5

Montevideo Wanderers won Last goal: Montevideo Wanderers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Renzo Rabino (straight red) — Juventud de las Piedras
  2. José Alberti — Montevideo Wanderers
  3. Facundo Pérez — Juventud de las Piedras

2nd half

  1. Sebastián Sosa (own goal) — Montevideo Wanderers
  2. Rodrigo Rivero — Montevideo Wanderers
  3. Patricio Pernicone — Juventud de las Piedras
  4. Jonás Luna — Montevideo Wanderers
  5. Esteban Crucci — Montevideo Wanderers

Model predictions were

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 294 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 243 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 28 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
174 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
90 predictions
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
24 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
238 predictions

Match overview