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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. B

31 May 2026 21:30 UTC

DEPORTIVO MALDONADO vs NACIONAL

Final 3:0

Deportivo Maldonado won Last goal: Deportivo Maldonado

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Cristian Tabo — Deportivo Maldonado
  2. Facundo Tealde — Deportivo Maldonado
  3. Gonzalo Larrazabal — Deportivo Maldonado

Model predictions were

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 69 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 294 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 243 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
69 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
137 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
92 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
153 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
219 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
238 predictions

Match overview