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01 Jun 2026 17:15 UTC

FC ARLANDA vs GEFLE

Final 2:3

Gefle won Last goal: Gefle

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Oscar Bergstedt — FC Arlanda
⚽ Alen Zahirovic — Gefle
⚽ Alen Zahirovic — Gefle
⚽ Felix Straengborn — FC Arlanda
⚽ Alen Zahirovic — Gefle

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Gefle

Result: Gefle

57%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

80%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

Score

1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 40 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 470 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 388 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 71% (Strong)

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

Total 3.5 48% (Average)

Total 4.5 68% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 68% (Strong)

Total 2.5 45% (Weak)

Total 3.5 49% (Average)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)

297 predictions

Both teams to score 57% (Good)

258 predictions

Total 1.5 81% (Strong)

326 predictions

Total 2.5 65% (Good)

239 predictions

Total 3.5 36% (Weak)

137 predictions

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

321 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for FC Arlanda vs Gefle. The match ended 2-3 in Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Norra. The model favored Gefle with a low-confidence projection (39.3%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 68.3% of matches across a sample of 388 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 48.9% in a sample of 47 team involvements.

Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (80.2%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and was correctly identified. Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) came in as a fairly even projection and held up in the final outcome.

Both teams to score (56.7%) aligned with the result. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

FC ARLANDA vs GEFLE

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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