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Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Norra

31 May 2026 14:00 UTC

KARLBERGS BK vs FBK KARLSTAD

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Karlbergs BK

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Granit Hana — FBK Karlstad
  2. Mattias Mitku — Karlbergs BK

Model predictions were

Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 100 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 467 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 385 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 32 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
294 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
257 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
324 predictions
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
238 predictions
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
248 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
318 predictions

Match overview