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03 Jun 2026 17:30 UTC

VASALUNDS IF vs FC JAERFAELLA

Final 3:1

Vasalunds IF won Last goal: Vasalunds IF

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Abdulmannan Khalil — FC Jaerfaella
⚽ Maximilian Dejene — Vasalunds IF

2nd half

⚽ Prince Amos — Vasalunds IF
⚽ Prince Amos — Vasalunds IF

Model predictions were

45%

1X2

Vasalunds IF

Result: Vasalunds IF

44%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes

80%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

54%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 474 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 392 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 71% (Strong)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 49% (Average)

Total 4.5 68% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 79% (Strong)

Total 2.5 61% (Good)

Total 3.5 39% (Weak)

Total 4.5 61% (Good)

Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)

299 predictions

Both teams to score 34% (Weak)

131 predictions

Total 1.5 81% (Strong)

329 predictions

Total 2.5 39% (Weak)

150 predictions

Total 3.5 56% (Good)

252 predictions

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

325 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Vasalunds IF vs FC Jaerfaella. The match ended 3-1 in Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Norra. Pre-match projections pointed to Vasalunds IF with a marginal edge at 45.3%.

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (80.2%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and aligned with the result.

Over 2.5 goals (44.6%) was identified as a weak indicator and did not match the outcome. Both teams to score (44.3%) did not match the outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 68.1% of matches across a sample of 392 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 51.5% in a sample of 33 team involvements. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

VASALUNDS IF vs FC JAERFAELLA

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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