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Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Norra

31 May 2026 12:00 UTC

PITEAA vs FC STOCKHOLM

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Piteaa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alexander Kaerki — FC Stockholm
  2. ⚽ Olle Edlund — FC Stockholm

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Linus Lindgren — Piteaa
  2. ⚽ Fredrik Johansson — Piteaa

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
FC Stockholm
Result: Draw
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 54 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 467 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 385 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
294 predictions
Both teams to score 34% (Weak)
128 predictions
Total 1.5 20% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
147 predictions
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
248 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
318 predictions

Match overview

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1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Over
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1X2 Home
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
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