← Back to matches

31 May 2026 13:00 UTC

AC OULU vs FF JARO

Final 2:1

AC Oulu won Last goal: AC Oulu

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Julius Paananen — AC Oulu
⚽ Aron Bjonbaeck — FF Jaro
⚽ Rasmus Karjalainen (penalty) — AC Oulu

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Draw

Result: AC Oulu

57%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

80%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

31%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

15%

Score

2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 179 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 145 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)

Both teams to score 54% (Average)

Total 1.5 75% (Strong)

Total 2.5 59% (Good)

Total 3.5 54% (Average)

Total 4.5 76% (Strong)

Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)

Both teams to score 46% (Average)

Total 1.5 68% (Strong)

Total 2.5 63% (Good)

Total 3.5 51% (Average)

Total 4.5 73% (Strong)

Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)

46 predictions

Both teams to score 61% (Good)

100 predictions

Total 1.5 83% (Strong)

122 predictions

Total 2.5 62% (Good)

87 predictions

Total 3.5 32% (Weak)

44 predictions

Total 4.5 82% (Strong)

126 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for AC Oulu vs FF Jaro. The match ended 2-1 in Finland · Veikkausliiga. The model leaned toward Draw with a weak indicator (39.3%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (80.2%) appeared as a clear statistical edge and was confirmed by the match.

Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) aligned with the result, both teams to score (56.7%) held up in the final outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 75.9% of matches across a sample of 145 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 46.3% in a sample of 41 team involvements.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

AC OULU vs FF JARO

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

Related matches