← Back to matches

30 May 2026 14:00 UTC

FC LAHTI vs ILVES

Final 5:0

FC Lahti won Last goal: FC Lahti

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Amir Belabid — FC Lahti
⚽ Amir Belabid — FC Lahti
⚽ Aaron Lindholm — FC Lahti

2nd half

⚽ Erik Andersson (penalty) — FC Lahti
⚽ Daniel Heikkinen — FC Lahti

Model predictions were

45%

1X2

FC Lahti

Result: FC Lahti

62%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

80%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

12%

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 174 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 140 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)

Both teams to score 54% (Average)

Total 1.5 75% (Strong)

Total 2.5 59% (Good)

Total 3.5 54% (Average)

Total 4.5 76% (Strong)

Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 34 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)

Both teams to score 62% (Good)

Total 1.5 74% (Strong)

Total 2.5 62% (Good)

Total 3.5 53% (Average)

Total 4.5 82% (Strong)

Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)

95 predictions

Both teams to score 61% (Good)

96 predictions

Total 1.5 83% (Strong)

118 predictions

Total 2.5 63% (Good)

83 predictions

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

98 predictions

Total 4.5 83% (Strong)

121 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for FC Lahti vs Ilves. The match ended 5-0 in Finland · Veikkausliiga. Pre-match projections pointed to FC Lahti with a marginal edge at 45.3%.

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (80.2%) appeared as a clear statistical edge and was confirmed by the match.

Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) appeared as a balanced signal and aligned with the result, both teams to score (62.3%) did not land. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 76.4% of matches across a sample of 140 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 61.8% in a sample of 34 team involvements.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

FC LAHTI vs ILVES

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

Related matches