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Finland · Veikkausliiga

30 May 2026 14:00 UTC

TPS vs VPS

Final 1:0

TPS won Last goal: TPS

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Miika Kauppila — TPS

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
VPS
Result: TPS
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 174 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 140 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 27 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
95 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
44 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
22 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
57 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
121 predictions

Match overview

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