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30 May 2026 12:00 UTC

HJK vs IFK MARIEHAMN

Final 1:0

HJK won Last goal: HJK

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Alexander Ring (penalty) — HJK

Model predictions were

45%

1X2

HJK

Result: HJK

62%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

80%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 174 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 140 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)

Both teams to score 54% (Average)

Total 1.5 75% (Strong)

Total 2.5 59% (Good)

Total 3.5 54% (Average)

Total 4.5 76% (Strong)

Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)

Both teams to score 59% (Good)

Total 1.5 77% (Strong)

Total 2.5 52% (Average)

Total 3.5 50% (Average)

Total 4.5 70% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)

95 predictions

Both teams to score 61% (Good)

96 predictions

Total 1.5 83% (Strong)

118 predictions

Total 2.5 63% (Good)

83 predictions

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

98 predictions

Total 4.5 83% (Strong)

121 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for HJK vs IFK Mariehamn. The match ended 1-0 in Finland · Veikkausliiga. The model leaned toward HJK with a low-confidence projection (45.3%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 76.4% of matches across a sample of 140 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 59.1% in a sample of 44 team involvements.

Most market calls were not confirmed by the final result in this fixture. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (80.2%) appeared as a clear statistical edge and was not confirmed. Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) fell short of the result, both teams to score (62.3%) was not confirmed.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

HJK vs IFK MARIEHAMN

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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