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Belarus · Premier League

31 May 2026 15:00 UTC

BATE BORISOV vs DNYAPRO MOGILEV

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Dnyapro Mogilev

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Anatoliy Yarmolich — BATE Borisov
  2. ⚽ Roman Piletskiy — Dnyapro Mogilev

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Dnyapro Mogilev
Result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 235 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 195 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
133 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
72 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
37 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
152 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
174 predictions

Match overview

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1X2 Home
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 3:1