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31 May 2026 11:00 UTC

FK VITEBSK vs BARANOVICHI

Final 2:3

Baranovichi won Last goal: FK Vitebsk

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Martin Artyukh — Baranovichi
⚽ Fedor Lebedev — Baranovichi
⚽ Stanislav Kendysh — Baranovichi

2nd half

⚽ Evgeni Krasnov (penalty) — FK Vitebsk
⚽ Kirill Rodionov — FK Vitebsk

Model predictions were

40%

1X2

Draw

Result: Baranovichi

47%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

48%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

31%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

Score

2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 235 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 195 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)

Both teams to score 46% (Average)

Total 1.5 59% (Good)

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

Total 3.5 67% (Strong)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)

Both teams to score 42% (Weak)

Total 1.5 61% (Good)

Total 2.5 61% (Good)

Total 3.5 70% (Strong)

Total 4.5 82% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)

62 predictions

Both teams to score 43% (Weak)

123 predictions

Total 1.5 68% (Strong)

158 predictions

Total 2.5 46% (Average)

104 predictions

Total 3.5 28% (Weak)

43 predictions

Total 4.5 89% (Strong)

174 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for FK Vitebsk vs Baranovichi. The match ended 2-3 in Belarus · Premier League. Pre-match projections pointed to Draw with a weak indicator at 40.2%.

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 79.5% of matches across a sample of 195 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 42.4% in a sample of 33 team involvements.

Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and was correctly identified. Over 2.5 goals (48%) was identified as a marginal edge and held up in the final outcome.

Both teams to score (46.5%) held up in the final outcome. Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

FK VITEBSK vs BARANOVICHI

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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